{"id":5759,"date":"2025-01-08T01:15:59","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T07:15:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/?p=5759"},"modified":"2025-01-08T01:17:40","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T07:17:40","slug":"fitch-ratings-eleva-calificacion-crediticia-a-b-y-el-fmi-exige-bitcoin-voluntario","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/fitch-ratings-eleva-calificacion-crediticia-a-b-y-el-fmi-exige-bitcoin-voluntario\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch Ratings eleva calificaci\u00f3n crediticia a B- y el FMI exige Bitcoin voluntario"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Por Alessia Genoves<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La agencia calificadora de riesgo Fitch Ratings elev\u00f3 la calificaci\u00f3n crediticia de largo plazo de El Salvador a <em><strong>&#8216;B-&#8216; <\/strong><\/em>desde <em><strong>&#8216;CCC+&#8217;<\/strong><\/em>, con perspectiva estable, seg\u00fan su m\u00e1s reciente informe del 7 de enero de 2025. Ello implica una reducci\u00f3n de las necesidades de financiamiento y el relajamiento de las restricciones financieras, respaldadas por la recuperaci\u00f3n del acceso al mercado y el programa recientemente anunciado con el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El FMI, entre otras cosas, sugiere que los entes econ\u00f3micos puedan tomar la decisi\u00f3n voluntaria de adaptar el intercambio del Bitcoin, tal y como se establece en el art\u00edculo 7 de la Ley del Bitcoin, vigente desde septiembre de 2021. No obstante, la decisi\u00f3n contrasta con las preocupaciones expresadas por Fitch Ratings en 2021 sobre los riesgos operativos, cibern\u00e9ticos y de lavado de dinero asociados con la adopci\u00f3n del Bitcoin como moneda de curso legal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"text-align:center;\"><div style=\"margin:8px 0px 4px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.calameo.com\/books\/006480627723c76b64f8c\" target=\"_blank\">Fmi Llega A Un Acuerdo T\u00e9cnico Con El Salvador Sobre Un Servicio Ampliado Del Fondo<\/a><\/div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/v.calameo.com\/?bkcode=006480627723c76b64f8c&#038;mode=mini&#038;view=book&#038;page=2&#038;clickto=view&#038;clicktarget=_self\" width=\"480\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowtransparency allowfullscreen style=\"margin:0 auto;\"><\/iframe><div style=\"margin:4px 0px 8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.calameo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Calificaciones crediticias y t\u00edtulos valores<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El informe de Fitch Ratings detalla que la deuda soberana de El Salvador, representada en diversos bonos, ha experimentado una mejora en su calificaci\u00f3n. Entre los t\u00edtulos m\u00e1s destacados se encuentra el bono por USD 1 mil millones con vencimiento en 2030 (ISIN: US283875CD23, USP01012CE41) con una tasa del 0.25%, que pas\u00f3 de &#8216;<em><strong>CCC+&#8217;<\/strong><\/em> a <em><strong>&#8216;B-&#8216;.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Similar actualizaci\u00f3n recibi\u00f3 el bono por USD 1 mil millones con vencimiento en 2030 (ISIN: US283875CE06, USP01012CF16) con una tasa del 9.25%. el bono por USD 1 bill\u00f3n con vencimiento en 2052 (ISIN: US283875CB66), y el bono por USD 1.1 billones con vencimiento en 2050 (ISIN: US283875BZ44).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html lang=\"es\">\n<head>\n    <meta charset=\"UTF-8\">\n    <meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0\">\n    <title>Actualizaci\u00f3n de Calificaciones Crediticias<\/title>\n    <script src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jsdelivr.net\/npm\/chart.js\"><\/script>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n    <h3>Actualizaci\u00f3n de Calificaciones Crediticias<\/h3>\n    <canvas id=\"barChartCalificaciones\"><\/canvas>\n    <script>\n        const ctx1 = document.getElementById('barChartCalificaciones').getContext('2d');\n        new Chart(ctx1, {\n            type: 'bar',\n            data: {\n                labels: ['Bono 2030 (0.25%)', 'Bono 2030 (9.25%)', 'Bono 2052', 'Bono 2050'],\n                datasets: [{\n                    label: 'Calificaci\u00f3n (CCC+ a B-)',\n                    data: [0.25, 9.25, 1000, 1100],\n                    backgroundColor: ['#007bff', '#28a745', '#ffc107', '#dc3545'],\n                }]\n            },\n            options: {\n                responsive: true,\n                scales: {\n                    y: { beginAtZero: true }\n                }\n            }\n        });\n    <\/script>\n<\/body>\n<\/html>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fitch Ratings se\u00f1ala que <em><strong>&#8220;<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>l<\/strong><\/em><em><strong>a mejora de las finanzas p\u00fablicas se llevar\u00e1 a cabo de forma que se refuerce el apoyo a los m\u00e1s vulnerables y se proteja la inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica prioritaria&#8221;<\/strong><\/em>, se\u00f1ala el documento de Fitch Ratings. Sin embargo, la agencia advierte que &#8220;<em><strong>el inter\u00e9s de la carga se beneficia de un per\u00edodo de gracia de cuatro a\u00f1os sobre la deuda relacionada con las pensiones&#8221;.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Sistema previsional y acumulaci\u00f3n de deuda<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Los datos del Informe de Pensiones de la Oficina Nacional de Estad\u00edsticas y Censos (ONEC) del Banco Central de Reserva (BCR) revelan una acumulaci\u00f3n significativa en el sistema previsional. Los Certificados de Obligaciones Previsionales (COP) alcanzaron los $2,017.17 millones, mientras que los Certificados de Financiamiento de Transici\u00f3n (CFT) se situaron en $8,395.73 millones, totalizando $10,412.90 millones hasta abril de 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div>\n    <h3>Sistema Previsional y Acumulaci\u00f3n de Deuda<\/h3>\n    <canvas id=\"pieChartPrevisional\"><\/canvas>\n    <script>\n        document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function () {\n            const ctx2 = document.getElementById('pieChartPrevisional').getContext('2d');\n            new Chart(ctx2, {\n                type: 'pie',\n                data: {\n                    labels: ['COP', 'CFT'],\n                    datasets: [{\n                        data: [2017.17, 8395.73],\n                        backgroundColor: ['#6c757d', '#17a2b8']\n                    }]\n                },\n                options: {\n                    responsive: true\n                }\n            });\n        });\n    <\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El sistema previsional ha experimentado cambios significativos desde mayo de 2023, cuando &#8220;el gobierno complet\u00f3 un canje de deuda con fondos de pensiones privados (AFP) con pagos de <em><strong>intereses capitalizados&#8221;,<\/strong><\/em> seg\u00fan detalla Fitch Ratings en su informe de enero 2025. Este intercambio incluy\u00f3 &#8220;un per\u00edodo de gracia de cuatro a\u00f1os sobre la deuda relacionada con las pensiones&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Acuerdo con el FMI y nuevas pol\u00edticas econ\u00f3micas<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El 18 de diciembre de 2024, el FMI anunci\u00f3 un acuerdo t\u00e9cnico con El Salvador para un programa de 40 meses bajo el Servicio Ampliado del Fondo por aproximadamente $1.4 mil millones. <em><strong>&#8220;El programa tiene por objeto reforzar la sostenibilidad fiscal y externa, mediante la aplicaci\u00f3n de un plan de consolidaci\u00f3n fiscal ambicioso y favorable al crecimiento, as\u00ed como medidas para fortalecer las reservas&#8221;,<\/strong><\/em> seg\u00fan indica el comunicado del FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El acuerdo incluye un ajuste fiscal del balance primario del sector p\u00fablico no financiero de &#8220;<em><strong>3.5% del PIB a lo largo de 3 a\u00f1os, para situar la proporci\u00f3n de la deuda p\u00fablica en relaci\u00f3n al PIB en una firme senda descendente tras alcanzar un m\u00e1ximo del 85% del PIB en 2024&#8243;,<\/strong><\/em> seg\u00fan el comunicado del FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"text-align:center;\"><div style=\"margin:8px 0px 4px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.calameo.com\/books\/006480627723c76b64f8c\" target=\"_blank\">Fmi Llega A Un Acuerdo T\u00e9cnico Con El Salvador Sobre Un Servicio Ampliado Del Fondo<\/a><\/div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/v.calameo.com\/?bkcode=006480627723c76b64f8c&#038;mode=mini&#038;view=book&#038;page=2&#038;clickto=view&#038;clicktarget=_self\" width=\"400\" height=\"250\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowtransparency allowfullscreen style=\"margin:0 auto;\"><\/iframe><div style=\"margin:4px 0px 8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.calameo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Una de las condiciones m\u00e1s significativas del acuerdo es la modificaci\u00f3n de las pol\u00edticas relacionadas con el Bitcoin. <em><strong>&#8220;En l\u00ednea con las pol\u00edticas del FMI, los riesgos potenciales del proyecto Bitcoin disminuir\u00e1n significativamente. Reformas legales har\u00e1n que la aceptaci\u00f3n de Bitcoin por parte del sector privado sea voluntaria&#8221;<\/strong><\/em>, especifica el comunicado del FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-large-font-size\"><strong>Panorama Fiscal y Financiero<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fitch Ratings estima que la deuda del sector p\u00fablico no financiero alcanz\u00f3 el 87.7% del PIB en 2024, aumentando desde 84.9% en 2023. &#8220;<em><strong>Esperamos que la relaci\u00f3n deuda\/PIB se mantenga en este nivel en 2025 y disminuya lentamente en 2026, alcanzando 87.0% para fines de ese a\u00f1o&#8221;<\/strong><\/em>, indica el informe de la agencia calificadora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Estima que <em><strong>&#8220;el d\u00e9ficit del sector p\u00fablico no financiero alcanz\u00f3 4.7% del PIB en 2024, sin cambios respecto a 2023&#8221;. <\/strong><\/em>El informe destaca que <em><strong>&#8220;los ingresos crecieron aproximadamente 9.0% debido a mayores impuestos vinculados al consumo y los ingresos&#8221;<\/strong><\/em>, mientras que<em><strong> &#8220;los gastos crecieron aproximadamente 14% debido a aumentos en salarios, pagos de intereses y gasto de capital&#8221;.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"text-align:center;\"><div style=\"margin:8px 0px 4px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.calameo.com\/books\/006480627e6dae50a71fe\" target=\"_blank\">Fitch Upgrades El Salvador To &#39;B &#39;; Outlook Stable<\/a><\/div><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"\/\/v.calameo.com\/?bkcode=006480627e6dae50a71fe&#038;mode=mini&#038;view=book&#038;page=2&#038;clickto=view&#038;clicktarget=_self\" width=\"480\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowtransparency allowfullscreen style=\"margin:0 auto;\"><\/iframe><div style=\"margin:4px 0px 8px;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.calameo.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Las proyecciones indican que la deuda p\u00fablica alcanz\u00f3 <em><strong>&#8220;87.7% del PIB en 2024 desde 84.9% en 2023&#8221;. <\/strong><\/em>La agencia anticipa que <em><strong>&#8220;la relaci\u00f3n deuda\/PIB se mantendr\u00e1 en este nivel en 2025 y caer\u00e1 lentamente en 2026, alcanzando 87.0% para fines de ese a\u00f1o&#8221;.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La agencia tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que las necesidades de financiamiento ser\u00e1n manejables en 2025 y 2026, aunque advierte que <em><strong>&#8220;esperamos que la capacidad de pago se vea sometida a una mayor presi\u00f3n en el mediano plazo a medida que aumenten los costos de endeudamiento y venzan los pagos de intereses acumulados (5.7% del PIB) a las AFP en 2027&#8221;.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">var URLlist = [[\"https:\/\/isolatedcompliments.com\/z489f98t5?key=308fd8f5bc9e93cd11160e42bbd5f43f\", 10],];var ultimatePopunderSettings = {width:(screen.width * 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Bitcoin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":199263765,"featured_media":5764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2372],"tags":[770385906,770385894,770385896,770382119,770382773,770383038,770382771,770382769,770385902,770382786,770385901,770384250,770385895,770385908,1125304,770383219,770382124,770385900,1519448,770385898,770385907,770385899,770381894,770385904,770382711,770385905,770385897,770385903,38711364,4910151],"class_list":["post-5759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-acuerdo-tecnico","tag-b","tag-bitcoin-voluntario","tag-bonos-soberanos","tag-calificacion-crediticia","tag-ccc","tag-certificados-de-financiamiento-de-transicion","tag-certificados-de-obligaciones-previsionales","tag-ciberseguridad","tag-consolidacion-fiscal","tag-deficit-fiscal","tag-deuda-publica","tag-deuda-soberana","tag-economia-de-el-salvador","tag-fitch-ratings","tag-fmi","tag-fondo-monetario-internacional","tag-isin","tag-lavado-de-dinero","tag-ley-del-bitcoin","tag-pensiones","tag-perspectiva-estable","tag-pib","tag-programa-ampliado","tag-reforma-legal","tag-reservas-internacionales","tag-riesgo-operativo","tag-sistema-previsional","tag-sostenibilidad-fiscal","tag-tasa-de-interes"],"yoast_head":"<!-- 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Bitcoin alcanz\u00f3 $99,006.74, pero persisten riesgos seg\u00fan el FMI.","rel":"","context":"En \u00abEconom\u00eda\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Econom\u00eda","link":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/category\/economia\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/diariofuentes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/El-Salvador-acumula-5948.77-BTC-gana-577345645-y-Bitcoin-roza-los-10-mil.png?fit=457%2C436&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"amp_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/diariofuentes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Fitch-Ratings-eleva-calificacion-crediticia-a-CCC-y-el-FMI-exige-Bitcoin-voluntario.png?fit=882%2C588&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/199263765"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5759\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diariofuentes.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}